The Financial Times had some graphs a few days ago of hospital occupancy vs NHS region. I never found their primary source of data. So I’ll be watching your thread with great interest hoping for an answer covering hospital admissions and ward patient levels…
That’s because the start of multiple outbreaks are staggered in time, so as one (e.g. London) starts to decrease others take it’s place. Countries that locked down early (China, Luxembourg, South Korea etc.) generally have a steep decrease curve compared to others that let it get all over the place because they only had one outbreak to deal with.
Good links to data but i still can’t see a hospital admissions rate data set.
I reckon that is the most useful because:
Not everyone who has it will get tested, and not everyone who has it will pass away, but everyone who has it severe enough will likely end up in hospital. So by tracking hospital admissions rates due to COVID then i reckon that would give a good picture of where we are at.
If for example per every 100 people that had COVID, 5 of those ended up in hospital and the other 95 recovered at home by having the data on hospital admissions and seeing if they were up, down, plateaued you could likely infer that for the other 95% which didn’t require hospital admission the figures were following the same trend. Meaning you could potentially see how the pandemic was progressing without having tested everyone. Of course it wouldn’t be massively accurate but could show a general trend.
Death rate is easily 1,2 possibly 3 weeks behind the current state of play new infection wise. Of all the unfortunate people that passed away today i wonder how long it has been since contracting COVID-19?